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Your partner in decision science

We uncover objective truths through custom quantitative research programs built for impact. Our team blends curiosity, rigor, and advanced methods to help you make smarter, more confident decisions.

Meet the team behind the insights—curious, rigorous, and driven by purpose.

Our values shape how we work—with each other and with every client.

Join our remote-first team and help shape the future of decision science.

Let’s talk through your big questions and figure out the evidence that matters.

How we do research differently

For us, research isn’t about numbers in a spreadsheet—it’s about answering your most important questions with clarity, purpose, and real-world impact.

We begin with the decision you need to make—then design lean, focused research to get you there.

Spotting trends is simple. Uncovering why takes rigor. Our statistical models reveal hidden drivers that turn data into confident action.

AI is powerful, but it can’t replicate lived experience. We use it to streamline our process—not to replace the human responses that are central to our research.

See what insight can do

We believe sharing knowledge is as important as creating it. That’s why we’ve built a library of resources designed to inform, inspire, and empower decision-makers like you.

See how we’ve answered complex questions with research backed insights and creative problem-solving.

Our point of view on what’s happening in research, strategy, and human behavior.

Stay ahead with our regular roundup of fresh ideas, actionable advice, and the stories shaping the future of market research.
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Anticipate risks and prepare your narrative for the real world

We help advocacy organizations uncover hidden audience beliefs, anticipate unintended consequences, and stress-test narratives before they hit the public stage.

Prepare for how audiences will respond, publicly and privately

Even the best-crafted messages carry risks when introduced into public debate. Some narratives may activate unintended resistance, backfire with hesitant audiences, or mobilize disengaged opponents. We help you see around these corners by identifying latent audience reactions and mapping where narrative strategies may generate support, indifference, or backlash.

Reveal hidden audience beliefs
Surface private attitudes and unspoken views that traditional surveys are not able to detect; especially on sensitive, polarizing, or stigmatized issues.
Anticipate real-world reactions
Simulate how different audiences will respond in the absence of social pressure, such as in ballot measures, elections, and other behaviors.
Avoid unintended activation of opposition
Identify which subgroups might be inadvertently energized against your position, allowing you to refine messaging and minimize the risk of backlash.

The Gradient difference

  • Clarify risk exposure
    We work with you to identify which beliefs, behaviors, and narratives carry the highest risk of backlash, disengagement, or unintended activation so you can proactively shape your public engagement strategy.
  • Design targeted research
    We design experiments that surface both public and private beliefs, test behavioral intentions, and isolate which messaging components carry the most potential for backlash or support.
  • Analyze & interpret
    Our team of data scientists and PhD researchers uncover not just who supports or opposes your issue, but where hidden pockets of risk exist. We reveal the underlying drivers of resistance, hesitation, or silent agreement across audience segments.
  • Activate insights
    You walk away with a clear, actionable framework that helps you sharpen your narrative, prepare for opposition, and lean into messaging that maximizes support while minimizing risk.

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Survey methodologies that drive results

Private Opinion for Values

We use an experimental method to reveal private moral beliefs that may not surface in traditional polling. 

This powerful technique leverages statistical modeling to infer where people feel pressure to withhold their private thoughts. This technique allows your organization to:

  • Surfaces hidden value tensions that standard surveys often miss.
  • Distinguish between socially acceptable answers and true personal beliefs.
  • Identify where private beliefs diverge from public discourse, allowing for more nuanced narrative strategies.
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Private Opinion for Behaviors

We use privacy-protecting survey designs to measure behaviors people may hesitate to disclose, such as how they might vote, take action, or engage with advocacy efforts. By shielding individual responses, we can estimate true behavioral intent even on highly sensitive or politicized issues. Private opinion for behaviors:

  • Reveals gaps between public statements and private behavioral intentions.
  • Anticipates potential mobilization, backlash, or silent support under real-world conditions.
  • Helps forecast campaign or ballot initiative risks tied to turnout, persuasion, or grassroots activity.
Private Opinion for Messaging

We use conjoint experiments to test how people privately weigh different message elements (such as values, frames, messengers, or emotional appeals) when forced to make tradeoffs. By presenting respondents with varied combinations and observing their choices, we isolate which components truly drive persuasion, even when people might hesitate to state their preferences directly. This component-based method of testing message preference:

  • Breaks messaging into components to reveal which combinations resonate most strongly.
  • Captures private preferences that may be masked by public pressure or social desirability.
  • Identifies messaging approaches that maximize persuasion while minimizing opposition activation risk.
 
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Turn hidden opinions into your unfair advantage at the ballot box, in the legislature, or in the media.